{"id":5456,"date":"2026-08-28T04:12:48","date_gmt":"2026-08-28T04:12:48","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=5456"},"modified":"2026-08-28T04:12:48","modified_gmt":"2026-08-28T04:12:48","slug":"gop-alarms-blare-as-another-deep-red-race-slides-out-of-the-solid-republican-slot","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=5456","title":{"rendered":"GOP alarms blare as another deep red race slides out of the \u2018Solid Republican\u2019 slot"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

Republicans were already well aware that they were facing an uphill battle in their fight to retain the U.S. House and Senate, as well as many local state races, but until very recently the question of a seat being anything but \u201csolid Republican\u201d in retiree haven Florida was nothing to expect \u2014 until now.<\/p>\n

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One of the top political prediction websites in the country says Republican candidate Byron Donalds is the favorite for Florida governor, but politicos were shocked to see the nonpartisan organization shift some expectation toward Democrat David Jolly.<\/p>\n

The Cook Political Report on Thursday moved the race from \u201cSolid Republican\u201d to \u201cLikely Republican.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cFlorida Democrats had long been more bullish on the open governor\u2019s race than the Senate contest. That\u2019s in part because gubernatorial races are typically less nationalized than federal ones, but also because Democrats have a strong ticket in former GOP Rep. David Jolly and his running mate, former Democratic Rep. Gwen Graham,\u201d reported Cook Political Report on Thursday. \u201cWhile Jolly trails Trump-backed Rep. Byron Donalds by more than a 10-1 margin in fundraising, his ability to potentially reach out to independents and disaffected Republicans makes this a unique contest that could possibly become competitive.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cWith that in mind, we are moving this race from Solid to Likely Republican,\u201d Cook continued. \u201cJolly would still need a significant financial boost to mount a robust statewide television campaign and have a real shot. For now, Donalds enjoys an overwhelming financial advantage.\u201d<\/p>\n

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Jolly told reporters recently that he does need \u201cresources to reach the mark, \u2026 that this is a cycle where you can get outspent 10:1 and still win.\u201d<\/p>\n

The Democrat also predicted that money was going to \u201ccome in\u201d as President Donald Trump\u2019s dismal polling and doldrum economy continued to push voters out of favor with Republicans.<\/p>\n

Jolly served as the U.S. representative for Florida’s 13th congressional district from 2014 to 2017 as a Republican, but after leaving office, he became a prominent Republican critic of Trump and later switched his party registration to run as a Democrat for the Florida governor\u2019s race. He said much of his party switch had to do with the Republican Party\u2019s cultlike devotion to Trump. <\/p>\n

The Democratic Governors Association released a poll by conducted by Hart Research showing a statistical tie in the race, with Jolly at 46 percent and Donalds at 45 percent. Florida news reports other polls have shown Donalds up by at least five percentage points.<\/p>\n

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Republicans were already well aware that they were facing an uphill battle in their fight to retain the U.S. House and Senate, as well as many local state races, but until very recently the question of a seat being anything but \u201csolid Republican\u201d in retiree haven Florida was nothing to expect \u2014 unti…<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":5264,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-5456","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nGOP alarms blare as another deep red race slides out of the \u2018Solid Republican\u2019 slot - Next Address America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=5456\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"GOP alarms blare as another deep red race slides out of the \u2018Solid Republican\u2019 slot - 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