{"id":3499,"date":"2026-07-17T19:08:25","date_gmt":"2026-07-17T19:08:25","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=3499"},"modified":"2026-07-17T19:08:25","modified_gmt":"2026-07-17T19:08:25","slug":"trump-just-gave-a-huge-gift-to-russia-that-will-upend-global-power","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=3499","title":{"rendered":"Trump just gave a huge gift to Russia that will upend global power"},"content":{"rendered":"
\n

At the NATO summit in Turkey last week, President Donald Trump made an announcement that experts say will not only benefit Russia, but could change the balance of global power. This is according to international relations analyst Derek Grossman, who explained in Foreign Policy<\/u> on Friday how Trump\u2019s intention to sell F-35 fighters to Turkey weakens U.S. sanctions against Russia, emboldening its arms buyers to ignore restrictions and enriching the Kremlin. <\/p>\n

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For Trump to sell fighters to Turkey, Grossman explains, he \u201chad to contend with the Countering America\u2019s Adversaries Through Sanctions Act (CAATSA). Turkey was already under CAATSA sanctions for its purchase of Russia\u2019s S-400 air defense system and needed Trump to lift these restrictions if it was to receive the F-35. He decided to do so \u2014 and that decision has implications far beyond Turkey.\u201d<\/p>\n

As Grossman elaborates, \u201cPassed by the U.S. Congress with overwhelming bipartisan support and signed into law by Trump during his first term in 2017, CAATSA creates what is effectively a secondary sanctions regime. It allows the president to punish foreign governments, companies, banks, and individuals engaging in ‘significant transactions<\/u>‘ with Russia\u2019s defense or intelligence sectors. The U.S. State Department maintains a list of entities<\/u> in these sectors, including Rosoboronexport, Moscow\u2019s principal state arms exporter.\u201d<\/p>\n

If a banned transaction is discovered, CAATSA offers a number of penalties that can be applied, \u201cincluding U.S. defense export embargoes, asset freezes, and visa restrictions on foreign officials\u2026Invoking CAATSA can thus jeopardize a government\u2019s access to U.S. weapons, technology, and financing. Enforcement is not automatic but determined by the executive branch.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trump has previously leveraged CAATSA against Turkey and China, but according to Grossman, his \u201crecent decision to lift CAATSA sanctions on Turkey will have wider consequences for Moscow\u2019s strategic partners across the Indo-Pacific region. This primarily means India, which continues to purchase S-400 units and other Russian arms despite CAATSA\u2026To be sure, neither the first Trump administration nor the Biden administration ever formally exempted India from CAATSA. Instead, they both deprioritized CAATSA enforcement in the interest of maintaining a strong strategic partnership with India in hopes that the latter would help the United States counter China.\u201d <\/p>\n

According to Grossman, the second Trump administration has \u201clooked the other way\u201d on CAATSA enforcement, such as when India received another S-400 regiment last month. Now Trump\u2019s decision to remove CAATSA restrictions from Turkey will encourage India to continue pushing to see how much leniency the U.S. will extend. <\/p>\n

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And India is hardly the only example. \u201cIn Southeast Asia,\u201d writes Grossman, \u201ctwo governments must be breathing sighs of relief following Trump\u2019s Turkey decision. One of them is Indonesia. Under President Prabowo Subianto, Jakarta has been pursuing a sweeping military modernization and professionalization drive that has involved diversifying arms imports, including from Russia. In 2018, Jakarta was negotiating the possible purchase of 11 Su-35 fighters, but by 2020, it had nixed the deal. It became clear that Indonesian concern about U.S. punishment under CAATSA was the primary reason.\u201d<\/p>\n

\u201cVietnam, too, must be happy about Trump\u2019s CAATSA reversal,\u201d asserts Grossman. \u201cSince the Cold War, Hanoi\u2019s military has become heavily dependent first on Soviet and then Russian arms. In recent years, it has sought to build a more diversified defense, including arms purchases from Washington. Some of this diversification away from Russia may have been fueled by CAATSA concerns. Nonetheless, Hanoi has tried to maintain defense procurement from the Kremlin and even devised schemes to circumvent potential CAATSA restrictions: In 2025, The Associated Press reported that Hanoi and Moscow had devised a backdoor payment scheme<\/u> that would use profits from joint oil and gas ventures to pay off defense contracts, effectively shielding these transactions from the reach of Western financial institutions and their sanctions mechanisms. CAATSA enforcement has evidently been a concern, and Trump\u2019s recent Turkey precedent should provide a sense of relief.\u201d<\/p>\n

Grossman raises more examples of country who subtly or overtly seek to circumvent the sanctions, writing, \u201cTrump\u2019s decision to back away from imposing CAATSA on Turkey gives these countries even more confidence to continue business as usual with the Kremlin\u2026 by signaling a more permissive approach to CAATSA enforcement, Trump has inadvertently reduced one of the few remaining political obstacles to future Russian arms sales in the Indo-Pacific.\u201d<\/p>\n

Trump\u2019s reversal on Turkey, Grossman reasons, means that \u201cIndo-Pacific governments will increasingly conclude that CAATSA is not a fixed rule but a policy tool for applying selective leverage according to Washington\u2019s political priorities. That may release some of the pressure on U.S. allies and partners today, but it also risks weakening one of Washington\u2019s most potent instruments for constraining Russia\u2019s global military relationships.\u201d<\/p>\n

Read more \u2018Humiliation\u2019: Young MAGA voters explain why they\u2019re ditching Trump<\/a><\/p>\n<\/div>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

At the NATO summit in Turkey last week, President Donald Trump made an announcement that experts say will not only benefit Russia, but could change the balance of global power. This is according to international relations analyst Derek Grossman, who explained in Foreign Policy on Friday how Trump\u2019s …<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":823,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-3499","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nTrump just gave a huge gift to Russia that will upend global power - Next Address America<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/nextaddressamerica.com\/?p=3499\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Trump just gave a huge gift to Russia that will upend global power - Next Address America\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"At the NATO summit in Turkey last week, President Donald Trump made an announcement that experts say will not only benefit Russia, but could change the balance of global power. 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